Provision for unearned premiums and provision for unexpired risk

Provision for unearned premiums is created as the portion of gross written premium that corresponds to future reporting periods, pro rata to the period for which the premium is written

The provision for unexpired risk is created for renewable group insurance portfolios in which a deficit on future contributions occurred relative to the expected benefits and other outflows (costs and commissions). The provision is created cumulatively for the entire insurance portfolio as the value of the expected future loss during the liability period.

Life insurance provision

Life insurance provision is calculated using prospective actuarial methods, for each insurance contract individually, using the net premium reserves method; they are equal to the difference between:

  •  expected present value of guaranteed benefits that may arise out of the insurance cover provided;
  • present value of premiums expected to be paid until the end of the term of these contracts.

In unit-linked insurance, a life insurance provision is created to cover current claims arising out of the insurance cover over and above the amount of the unit-linked fund; it corresponds to the part of the payments collected for the insurance cover that is attributable to future reporting periods.

The calculation of a life insurance provision also includes a mark-up on costs, while the provisions themselves are not reduced by the value of deferred acquisition expenses.

Unit-linked life insurance provision

Unit-linked life insurance provisions are recognized in the amount of the investment made under the terms of the contract.

Provision for outstanding claims and benefits

Provision for outstanding claims and benefits is created separately for:

  •  claims reported but not paid – using the individual method or, if the loss amount cannot be assessed (if the occurrence of losses is a mass phenomenon), using the average claim from the quarter immediately preceding the reporting quarter;
  •  claims incurred but not reported – using the flat-rate method, as a percentage of claims paid for the last twelve months.

The provision for outstanding claims and benefits also includes the provision for claims handling expenses.

Provisions for bonuses and discounts for insureds

The provision is recognized in an amount taking into account the expected amounts by which future claims will be increased or future premiums will be decreased, in accordance with the current bonuses and discounts granting method.

Other technical provisions

Other technical provisions in life insurance include:

  •  revaluation provision for claims under individual life insurance and annuities taken over from Państwowy Zakład Ubezpieczeń;
  •  provision for pending court proceedings and benefits arising out of court rulings pursuant to Article 358 § 3 of the Civil Code Act of 23 April 1964 changing the amount or performance of a cash benefit;
    •  for unit-linked life insurance and annuities taken over from Państwowy Zakład Ubezpieczeń, the value of the provision
      was determined based on the value of expected future additional benefits resulting from court cases and settlements. The value of these benefits has been determined by extrapolating the historical trend of benefits estimated based on the number of completed court proceedings and settlements and the value of the awarded amounts;
    •  for other insurance based on the value in dispute and the likelihood of an award or settlement;
  •  low interest rate provision – related to the expected decrease in return on assets covering life insurance provisions for traditional individual life insurance and provisioning of children and disability pensions. The amount of this provision has been determined based on the value of expected future additional benefits arising out of court cases and settlements.
    •  the amount of the mathematical provisions calculated by using appropriate mathematical formulas and by applying modified technical rates, considering their expected reduction in the future, and
    •  the amount of the mathematical provisions calculated in line with the applicable provisioning regulations, at the original technical rate that was used to price the products.

Provision adequacy tests

At the end of each year, for each product in the life insurance portfolio, the amount of technical provisions recognized in the consolidated financial statements is compared with the present value of expected future cash flows, i.e. the economic value of liabilities. These cash flows projections include: premium income and commission reimbursements (the so-called clawback in protection bank insurance with a one-time premium charge associated with early termination), expenditures on benefits, expenses, fees and commissions and are based on several assumptions regarding: mortality, loss ratio, lapse rates, servicing expenses, yields curves and other product-specific assumptions (e.g. indexation).

The assumptions used to project future cash flows, regarding expected future mortality, loss ratio, lapse rates and other productspecific assumptions, are reviewed and updated on an annual basis based on current experience and observed trends. Taken together with the assessment of their further development, they constitute the best estimate assumption for further developments in mortality, loss, lapses, etc.

Future indexations of sum insured and premium amounts resulting from the profit participating rights, defined as the excess of rates of return on investments over the technical rate, are based on a projection of future rates of return on the current portfolio of assets to cover provisions for these products, together with their expected future reinvestments at the present term structure of interest rates, i.e. in line with current market expectations.

Future costs are projected based on the expected number of contracts remaining in the portfolio in successive periods and the average unit service cost per contract. The assumptions for unit costs are adopted on the basis of expected future portfolio maintenance and servicing expenses, asset management and claims handling expenses. It is assumed that unit service costs will rise in successive years of the projection period by the cost increase ratio. The amount of future commissions is determined based on the agreed commission rates for individual contracts in their successive years.

The present value of future cash flows is calculated using the discount factors based on the unadjusted yield of Polish government bonds according to their current market quotations.

The test compares the present value of projected cash flows with the amount of provisions shown at the end of each year. If provisions are found to be insufficient in relation to the value of discounted cash flows, changes are introduced to the existing provisioning rules and consequently their value is adjusted.

The purpose of the provision adequacy test is to assess whether the technical provision amounts captured in the consolidated financial statements are sufficient, rather than to assess adequacy of the individual assumptions. Accordingly, the provision adequacy test does not directly identify the degree of adequacy or inadequacy of the individual assumptions adopted in technical provision estimation process

The test carried out as at 31 December 2022 showed the adequacy of provisions for all product groups.